Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.964557 1.112719 1.272606 1.457549 1.665137 1.890502 2.153219
2024-12-29 0.776137 0.989363 1.239049 1.551039 1.928296 2.367479 2.915002
2025-01-05 0.610178 0.849231 1.149714 1.550561 2.066091 2.701185 3.536343
2025-01-12 0.488158 0.735076 1.065531 1.532098 2.164464 2.981208 4.103416
2025-01-19 0.400691 0.648180 0.998608 1.518805 2.256714 3.249105 4.664100
2025-01-26 0.345536 0.596055 0.968968 1.547313 2.400511 3.588054 5.334813
2025-02-02 0.299110 0.548310 0.937055 1.564824 2.524626 3.902555 5.986405
2025-02-09 0.259457 0.504214 0.903422 1.573016 2.631255 4.194278 6.618493
2025-02-16 0.232253 0.476279 0.890810 1.610296 2.781478 4.555261 7.367909
2025-02-23 0.205215 0.443989 0.866212 1.623926 2.893046 4.861905 8.050255
2025-03-02 0.172466 0.395441 0.807095 1.572484 2.893476 4.994723 8.472277
2025-03-09 0.158925 0.382036 0.808528 1.624256 3.065905 5.404535 9.341130
2025-03-16 0.144142 0.364257 0.800650 1.660187 3.216779 5.793024 10.204929
2025-03-23 0.136912 0.361498 0.821120 1.749624 3.466576 6.357071 11.379725
2025-03-30 0.120451 0.335378 0.792324 1.743639 3.546616 6.643159 12.115920
2025-04-06 0.104715 0.307949 0.757167 1.721253 3.594004 6.874826 12.771271
2025-04-13 0.091738 0.284638 0.727418 1.705852 3.651600 7.124884 13.466437
2025-04-20 0.083900 0.272879 0.721170 1.737087 3.798403 7.537250 14.455468
2025-04-27 0.076077 0.259646 0.709866 1.756331 3.922626 7.914633 15.399318
2025-05-04 0.068482 0.245511 0.694605 1.765343 4.026618 8.259592 16.299978
2025-05-11 0.063538 0.238047 0.694226 1.806488 4.196873 8.733071 17.447075
2025-05-18 0.057685 0.226644 0.682728 1.821528 4.314496 9.113691 18.442201
2025-05-25 0.049096 0.204673 0.641596 1.764736 4.279048 9.203779 18.912733